Who snags the Oscars? See our TX. predictions

Sunday , March 04, 2018 - 12:00 AM

TX. Correspondent

The 90th annual Academy Awards will be held Sunday, March 4, with arguably the “most good-ish” films of the year, as always.

Although I have not seen all the films that have been nominated, I have researched and studied this year’s nominees and have come up with a few of my own Oscar predictions.

To start off, sound mixing and editing — though not as glamorous as other categories — are two crucial aspects of a film’s success. This year will likely see both awards going to “Dunkirk,” but “Baby Driver” and “Blade Runner: 2049” still have a chance at taking home an award.

Visual effects may sound boring, but without those epic shots and great CGI, everyone’s favorite movies would be a lot less entertaining to watch. While “War for the Planet of the Apes” and “Blade Runner: 2049” both have strong chances, “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” has some stunning scenes that shouldn’t be forgotten. All in all, this award will probably go to “War for the Planet of the Apes.”

• Spellbinding songs

The music in a movie can be the difference between a beloved classic and an absolute disaster. The best example of this is Steven Spielberg’s “Jaws.” The film would be incredibly boring without the suspense created by John Williams’ original score.

And speaking of Williams, this year is his 51st nomination for an Academy Award, now for “Star Wars: The Last Jedi.” Unfortunately, it is unlikely he’ll win this one. More likely, original score will go to Alexandre Desplat’s “The Shape of Water.”

Original song, the other musical category, has some strong contenders. Both “Coco” and “The Greatest Showman” have incredible soundtracks. Though it could easily go either way, it can be expected that “This Is Me” from “The Greatest Showman” will take the award.

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For years Disney argued that animated films should be allowed into the Academy Awards, but when the category was finally added in 2001, Disney lost to DreamWorks’s “Shrek.” This year, there is very little competition in this category: Disney’s “Coco” is practically guaranteed the win.

A good story is arguably the most important part of a movie. The award for best original screenplay will most likely go to “The Shape of Water,” and the award for best adapted screenplay will most likely go to “Call Me by Your Name.”

It was surprising to find that “Dunkirk” earned acclaimed director-writer Christopher Nolan his first nomination for best director. Despite strong competitors like “The Shape of Water’s” Guillermo Del Toro, Nolan could easily be taking home this award.

• Cue the actors

Actors and actresses are obviously one of the most important and visible aspects of any film. Without these faces and voices the story couldn’t be told.

Ladies first: Best actress is probably the most competitive category of the year. Based on previous award ceremonies alone, Frances McDormand of “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” will win, no question. However, Sally Hawkins of “The Shape of Water” has more than a fair chance of taking the award.

There are several best actor nominees of high caliber with Daniel Day-Lewis, Denzel Washington and Gary Oldman. This year will most likely see Oldman taking home his first Academy Award for his performance in “Darkest Hour.”

Supporting actors and actresses also play important roles in a movie. Sam Rockwell from “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” will probably take best supporting actor but Willem Dafoe from “The Florida Project” could also take the award. Allison Janney from “I, Tonya” can be expected win best supporting actress.

When everything else is said and done, the Academy Awards comes down to one last category: best picture. While there were plenty of phenomenal films in 2017, with only a few even being nominated for awards, “The Shape of Water” will most likely take the Academy Award for best picture.

Keep in mind, upsets are always a possibility. Just take last year and “La La Land” for example. So to see what actually happens, along with seeing awards in other categories not included here, be sure to watch the Academy Awards on ABC.

Scott Swain is a junior at Davis High School. He plays marimba in the marching band and enjoys cinematography. Email him at 19sswain@davis.k12.ut.us.

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