Michael Smerconish

George Zimmerman, left, walks out of the intake building at the John E. Polk Correctional Facility with a bondsman on Sunday, April 22, 2012, in Sanford, Fla. Zimmerman posted bail on a $150,000 bond on a second degree murder charge in the February shooting death of 17-year-old Trayvon Martin In Sanford, Fla. (AP Photo/Brian Blanco)

Is case against Zimmerman doomed?

Last week, media outlets filed motions to unseal the records concerning the arrest of George Zimmerman in connection with the shooting death of Trayvon Martin. Florida has a rich tradition of "sunshine" when it comes to public access to court proceedings, and it seems likely that, sooner than later, the public will see what evidence special prosecutor Angela Corey has that warranted the filing of second-degree murder charges. Thus far, Corey and defense lawyer Mark O'Mara have agreed to limit customary access.

Absent something new or previously undisclosed being contained in Corey's file, one of America's best-known lawyers feels the case is doomed. Harvard law professor Alan Dershowitz believes that the murder charges will be thrown out. In a recent interview with me, Dershowitz acknowledged the low evidentiary bar necessary at this juncture, but still opined that Corey has not met it.

Christie will get GOP nod in 2016

I can easily see Chris Christie as the 2016 Republican nominee. Here's how I get there:

Rick Santorum. Marco Rubio. Paul Ryan. John Thune. Maybe Sarah Palin. They're the "usual suspects" for 2016 should Mitt Romney lose to President Obama, which current polls suggest will be the case. There's lots of time on the clock, and anything can happen, but assuming that's the way the current presidential race ends, the seeds are already being sown for yet another battle for the heart and soul of the Republican Party.

Baseball great Jim Abbott

In the summer of 1985, Don Welke, a baseball scout for the Toronto Blue Jays, drove to Flint, Mich., to check out a high school pitching prospect. After silently observing the player for a few hours, he summarized his thoughts in his notebook as follows:

"Abbott, Jim

"Left-handed pitcher. 6-3, 180. Great arm. Good change-up. Makings of a breaking ball. Natural cutter. Big competitor. Good athlete. Plays football. Good hitter."

Then he added a final line: "Has no right hand."

Analyzing 911 calls in Florida shooting death

Pending the outcome of some voice analysis, there is arguably enough evidence in the 911 tapes to warrant the arrest of George Zimmerman in connection with the Feb. 26 shooting death of 17-year-old Trayvon Martin. The voice testing is needed to determine if Zimmerman uttered a racial slur while in pursuit of Martin, and which of the two can be heard crying out for help during their altercation in Sanford, Fla.

Here are seven observations about Zimmerman's 911 call to police, and one point about the neighbors' calls:

Republican presidential candidate, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum speaks during a campaign stop in downtown Moline, Ill, on Monday, March 19, 2012. (AP Photo/The Dispatch, Paul Colletti)

Source of Santorum's strength in Pennsylvania could be a weakness

After notching victories in Alabama and Mississippi last week, Rick Santorum is certain to still be a viable presidential candidate when the primary process reaches Pennsylvania on April 24.

Sarah Palin, ready, or not, for prime time

When authors Mark Halperin and John Heilemann published "Game Change" in 2010, they proved that, despite an unprecedented level of coverage of the 2008 presidential campaign, there was much of the story remaining to be told.

Romney's missed chances on role of faith in elections

Mitt Romney has missed several golden opportunities to turn this campaign's religious fixation to his advantage.

Given that polls show he faces prejudice among a sizable share of primary voters because of his Mormon faith, you would think Romney would be eager to try to redefine the role of faith in the election. But he keeps refusing to challenge those who would apply faith-based litmus tests, even though doing so would win him plaudits among the independents who will pick the next president. That's probably because he fears it would backfire among those who will pick the GOP nominee.

Rethinking paths to wealth

If one ambition for your children is to see them join the 1 percent, you might want to re-evaluate their career paths.

Don't let those gift cards be a gift to retailers or the state

Go redeem your gift cards!

That's my takeaway after a chat with Brian Riley, a senior research director in the retail banking and cards practice at TowerGroup. He studies the retail industry and calculates that in this new year, $2 billion in gift-card purchases will go unredeemed. Some will be lost. Others misplaced. And some recipients are simply not motivated to shop at certain retailers.

Congress needs a debt vote

Start voting.

That's my wish for the Congress when it comes to solutions regarding our nearly $15 trillion debt.

Three major bipartisan efforts in Washington offered long-term solutions to our astronomical indebtedness, but none resulted in up-or-down votes in Congress that would have provided a measure of accountability for the folks at home.

Gingrich's immigration test

One week ago, I arose before dawn and went to buy coffee and a newspaper at a southwest Florida 7-Eleven. I was the lone white guy in a convenience store jammed with Latinos wearing T-shirts emblazoned with the names of lawn services whose trucks packed the parking lot. This was Black Friday, but none of these guys was going shopping. They were soon to manicure the lawns of one of the most prosperous, politically conservative communities in a swing state.

Penn State squandered its crisis window

At least six months.

That's the minimum amount of time that Pennsylvania State University officials had to ready their public response before everything hit the fan in the Jerry Sandusky case. While the debate continues as to whom within the Penn State community was on notice of Sandusky's alleged sexual abuse of children over the years, it is undeniable that, since the spring, the university was on notice of a potentially earth-shattering investigation. Still, the ineptitude that appears to have marked the oversight and management of Sandusky while a coach and in his retirement similarly prevailed when it came to communications.

Romney, beware: Cain may bob through the straits

Herman Cain's problems do not bode well for Mitt Romney. That sounds counterintuitive. If the two men are really battling for the lead in the GOP nomination, you'd think Cain's loss is Romney's gain. But the Cain voters have already taken a pass on Romney, and if past missteps didn't evaporate Cain's base, this might not either.

For the last week, Cain has conducted a tutorial on how not to handle a political crisis. Contrary to talking-point pundits on the right, Politico is not some left-wing website. It is a balanced, well-written clearinghouse for all things political. In fact, Politico would have been derelict in its duty had it not pursued a story about money being paid to an accuser of a presidential contender based on a complaint of sexual harassment from when he was with the National Restaurant Association.

Slain police officer's wife deals with 30 years of calls

PHILADELPHIA -- In California last Tuesday, Maureen Faulkner's telephone began ringing at 6:30 a.m. When she looked down and saw the instant onslaught of calls from the 215 and 610 area codes, she knew they would bring bad news. After 30 years, she's grown accustomed to getting bad news by phone.

Hugh Burns, a good friend and tireless advocate from the appellate division of the District Attorney's Office, was the one to finally tell her that the U.S. Supreme Court had cleared the way for the man who killed Police Officer Daniel Faulkner to receive a new sentencing trial. Prosecutors can take on another sentencing hearing in the hopes of again winning a death sentence against Mumia Abu-Jamal, or close the case and allow him to serve life in prison without the possibility of parole.

Hitler comparison is always out of bounds

Are you ready for some fallout?

This week's poster boy for political incivility is country singer Hank Williams Jr. During a frequently awkward "Fox and Friends" interview, Williams said President Obama and House Speaker John Boehner's "golf summit" last summer was analogous to a pairing of Adolf Hitler and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

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