OGDEN -- The state's transportation planning arm says Utah's population will grow by more than 2 million between now and 2040 -- an increase that will have major impacts on housing, mobility, air quality and overall quality of life.
To plan ahead for this massive jump in people, the Wasatch Front Regional Council is exploring four land-use scenarios that address the growth needs of the region through the next three decades.
"A lot of work is needed to prepare for this growth," said Ted Knowlton, deputy director of the WFRC.
The WFRC's guiding philosophy for the future is to have a notable amount of growth located in centers like downtown areas, main streets and major office parks.
Those centers would be coordinated with light rail, commuter rail, highways and major arterials.
"Centers near regional transportation help more people get to more destinations in less time," Knowlton said.
A breakdown of new housing, growth location and transportation investment under each of the four individual scenarios shows the following:
Scenario 1: Thirty-eight percent of new housing would be multi-unit homes, while 62 percent would be single-family homes. Sixty-five percent of residential and business growth would occur in undeveloped "greenfield" areas, while 35 percent would be in already developed "infill" areas with vacant space available. Seventy-seven percent of new transportation infrastructure would be roads, while 23 percent would be transit.
Scenario 2: Forty percent of new housing would be multi-unit homes, while 60 percent would be single- family homes. Sixty-one percent of business and residential growth would occur in greenfield areas, with 39 percent in infill areas. Seventy-two percent of new transportation infrastructure would be roads, while 28 percent would be transit.
Scenario 3: New housing would be split 50-50 between multi-unit and single-family homes. Fifty-five percent of new growth would be in greenfield areas with 45 percent in infill areas. Seventy-four percent of new transportation infrastructure would be roads; 26 percent would be transit.
Scenario 4: Multi-unit homes would account for 61 percent of new housing while 39 percent would be single-family homes. Forty-eight percent of new growth would be in greenfield areas, and 52 percent would be in infill areas. Sixty-two percent of new transportation infrastructure would be roads; 38 percent would be transit.
The four scenarios, with detailed maps of how they would play out in individual cities throughout the Wasatch Front, will be available for public review at an Ogden-area open house.
The meeting will be from 3 p.m. to 5:30 p.m. Monday at the Weber Center, 2380 S. Washington Blvd., Ogden.