WSU (2-3, 1-1 Big Sky) will face a Cal Poly (3-2, 2-0) team in front of an expected sellout crowd at Spanos Stadium. All of the non-student, publicly available tickets at the 11,075-seat venue sold out as of Wednesday.

The Mustangs are hoping to build on an apparent resurgence under new head coach Tim Skipper, who came to San Luis Obispo after nine games last year as UCLA’s interim head coach, while the Wildcats seem on track to get in yet another one-score game.

MEET THE MUSTANGS

Cal Poly has its guy at quarterback. Fifth-year thrower Anthony Grigsby Jr. (No. 7) is throwing for 229 yards per game, totaling 1,146 yards and 13 touchdowns to four interceptions on a 61.3% completion rate.

Most of the passing game ends in the hands of three receivers with big-play potential. Tayvion McCoy (No. 2) has four touchdowns and averages 84.6 yards per game and 14.1 yards per reception. Fidel Pitts (No. 4) has three touchdowns, averaging 63.6 ypg and 14.5 ypr. And Ray Hall (No. 88) has three touchdowns while averaging 45.8 ypg and 16.4 ypr.

But while Grigsby’s been pretty good running the offense, running back Jaden Green (No. 1) will be the second top-10 FCS rusher Weber State has faced this season. He’s eighth nationally at 122.4 yards per game after hammering Eastern Washington for 269 yards on 28 carries last week, the second-best single-game performance in program history.

Senior linebacker Mikey D’Amato (No. 44) leads the Mustangs with 60 tackles, including 3.5 for loss. On the defensive line, Kaleb Pleis (No. 87) has 3.5 TFLs with a team-high 2.5 sacks.

In the kicking game, Cal Poly switched to Josue Lopez (No. 36) last week and he made a 43-yard field goal; Noah Thayer was 2 for 5 in the previous four games. Punter Dean Scrivner (No. 41) averages 43.9 yards per punt.

TEAM VS. TEAM METRICS

Through five games, Weber State averages 36.6 points per game on 470 yards, including 6.4 yards per play. Defensively, WSU has allowed 38.4 points per game on 475 yards, including 6.4 yards per play.

After last week’s six-turnover debacle, the Wildcats are minus-seven in the turnover margin, losing 13 giveaways (eight interceptions, five fumbles) while gaining six (two interceptions, four fumbles). WSU has also blocked five kicks this season: three PATs, one field goal, one punt, with the latter two both returned for touchdowns.

Weber has recorded 12 sacks defensively while allowing nine.

WSU averages 4.4 penalties per game for 38 yards.

Also in five games, Cal Poly scores 29.6 points per game on 410 yards, including 6.3 yards per play. Defensively, PSU has allowed 29.2 points per game on 449 yards, including 6.0 yards per play.

The Mustangs are minus-one in turnover margin, losing six turnovers (four interceptions, two fumbles) while gaining five takeaways (three interceptions, two fumbles).

PSU has recorded nine sacks defensively while allowing eight.

The Mustangs average just 2.8 penalties per game for 30 yards.

ODDS & PREDICTIONS

Jeff Sagarin ranks Weber State at No. 194 in all of Division I (FBS and FCS, 266 total teams). Cal Poly is No. 191. His formula favors CP by 0.5 points on a neutral field but, including home-field advantage, Cal Poly is a five-point favorite.

ESPN’s Bill Connelly ranks Weber State at No. 50 in FCS (128 teams) and Cal Poly at No. 57. His formula favors Cal Poly by 1.4 points, predicting a win of 36-34 or 36-35.

D Ratings favors Cal Poly by four, predicting a CP win of 32-28 at 65% probability.

WEATHER

It’s a hot one in San Luis Obispo on Saturday, with clear, sunny skies and a high of 93 degrees. But at the 5 p.m. local kickoff (6 p.m. MDT), the forecast calls for 80 degrees. The sun sets at 6:43 p.m. locally, so likely during halftime, and temps drop to about 74 degrees by game’s end.

TV & RADIO

The game will stream on the ESPN+ subscription service, available on the ESPN app or WatchESPN.com. Max Kelton and John Kane will be on the call.

Weber State’s radio call, with Carl Arky and former WSU player Dave Stireman, airs in Utah on 103.1 FM and online at coast103.com.

ALL-TIME SERIES

Weber State leads the all-time series 12-6 and has won seven consecutive games against Cal Poly. The teams last met in 2024 in Ogden, a WSU win of 28-17. WSU’s last trip to SLO was in 2023, a 48-21 win. Weber is 6-3 all-time at Cal Poly.